Crosscurrents of the economy and markets at a 3 year high.
Stocks finished sharply higher last week, leading major indexes to their best month so far this year. A strong earnings season coupled with increases in personal spending, personal income, and gradual improvement in the nation’s job picture helped the Dow finish 4.3% higher for the month.
Also last week, Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke held his first-ever press conference to answer reporters’ questions in a televised setting. A clear effort was made to reassure a skeptical public that the central bank is doing everything it can to control inflation and expand the recovery. "It is very hard to blame the American public for being impatient," the Fed Chairman told about 60 reporters at Wednesday's news conference. Citing high unemployment and rising gas prices, Bernanke acknowledged that, "Conditions are far from where we would like them to be.”
Commenting on the Fed’s commitment to help curb excessive inflation, the Fed Chairman added, “If inflation persists or inflation expectations begin to move, then there is no substitution for action. We would have to respond... I think every central banker understands that keeping inflation low and stable is absolutely essential to a successful economy. And we will do what is necessary to ensure that that happens.” At a time when food and gas prices are on the rise, these words were comforting for many Americans to hear. And while stating that the recovery has been merely “moderate”, Bernanke also stressed the Fed’s belief that it is “sustainable”.
In spite of Mr. Bernanke’s constructive tone, we must reasonably acknowledge that the economic picture is not entirely rosy. Government data released Thursday showed that U.S. GDP slowed in the first quarter to 1.8% from 3.1% in the previous quarter, reflecting a spike in gasoline, higher overall inflation, and continued weakness in the housing market.
Much like a ship captain monitors his navigational instruments, we will continue to monitor both the policy makers and the economic indicators that help us navigate the vast sea of investment options. Commentaries like this are our way keeping you informed of the course we are charting.
ECONOMIC CALENDAR:
Tuesday – Redbook, New Home Sales
Wednesday – Durable Goods Orders
Thursday – GDP, Jobless Claims , Corporate Profits
Friday – Personal Income and Outlays, Consumer Sentiment
HEADLINES:
The death toll from this week's storms rose to 343 Saturday, according to an NBC News count, making the tornado outbreak the second deadliest in U.S. history. Catastrophe risk modeling company EQECAT said that with initial reports of nearly 10,000 destroyed buildings, property insurance losses were expected to range from $2 to $5 Billion.
President Barack Obama used his weekly address to the nation to reiterate his call on Congress to stop granting tax subsidies to oil and gas companies. Despite recent signs of economic recovery, families across the country are experiencing “real pain” from soaring gas prices, Obama said.
Prince William and Kate Middleton have been pronounced husband and wife at Westminster Abbey in London. The Duke and Duchess of Cambridge, as they will now be known, made their vows in front of 1,900 guests and the eyes of the world.
The U.S. Federal Trade Commission is preparing an investigation of Google Inc.’s dominance of the Internet search industry by alerting high-tech companies to gather information for the probe, three people familiar with the matter said. The probe is examining whether Google discriminated against other services in search results and stopped websites from accepting rival ads.
Al Qaeda leader Osama bin Laden, a mastermind of the largest terrorist attack in American history, was killed Sunday in Pakistan in a military operation after the U.S. learned of his location.
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