Now What: A Guide to Retirement During Volatile Times

Worst Thanksgiving week for the markets since 1932

It was another brutal week for stocks as fears related to Europe’s debt situation dominated headlines. According to CNBC, the S&P 500 logged its worst Thanksgiving week since 1932. Ouch! For the week, the S&P 500 fell 4.7%, giving back almost two-thirds of its October gains.

Another factor that contributed to the poor performance is that trading volume was exceptionally light for the week as investors pulled away from their computers to enjoy some holiday relaxation. The day after Thanksgiving is typically one of the lightest volume days of the year, and true to form, only 3 billion shares (less than half the daily average) changed hands on major exchanges as the stock market closed early at 1 pm.

Even though the U.S. economic picture keeps improving, investors continue looking to Europe for signals. And unfortunately, the signals coming out of Europe are a mixed bag at best. Despite hopes that new leadership can pull the region out of crisis, more countries continue to struggle. Hungary’s credit rating was downgraded to junk status by Moody’s last week. Belgium, which has struggled to implement spending cuts after 18 months without a government, was downgraded on Friday to AA from AA+ by Standard & Poor's. Italy paid a record 6.5% to borrow money over six months on Friday, and its longer-term funding costs soared far above levels seen as sustainable for public finances. High debt yields from major economies such as Spain, France, and Germany suggest investing in the region is perceived as being more risky. And last week’s poor auction of German bonds raised concerns that the debt crisis is spreading to Europe's core. This rash of negative news is really disturbing investors.

To quote Brian Lazorishak, portfolio manager at Chase Investment Counsel "This market is going to continue to be driven by what's happening in Europe. If things seem to be falling apart, nothing else will matter. If it looks like there's a way out – a light at the end of the tunnel in Europe – that could spark a decent rally from where we are now.”

ECONOMIC CALENDAR:
Monday – New Home Sales
Tuesday – S&P Case Shiller, HPI, Consumer Confidence
Wednesday – ADP Employment Report, Productivity and Costs, Chicago PMI, Pending Home Sales Index, EIA Petroleum Status Report, Beige Book
Thursday – Motor Vehicle Sales, Jobless Claims, ISM Manufacturing Index, Construction Spending
Friday – Monster Employment Index, Employment Situation Report

HEADLINES:
Black Friday sales increased 6.6% to the largest amount ever as U.S. consumers shrugged off 9 percent unemployment and went shopping. Consumers spent $11.4 billion, ShopperTrak said in a statement yesterday. Foot traffic rose 5.1% on Black Friday, according to the Chicago-based research firm.

Did you skip the lines on Black Friday? There's still Cyber Monday -- and analysts are expecting an abundance of deals to bring in record online sales this year. Andrew Lipsman, an industry analyst at data tracking firm ComScore, said sales for the one-day shopping event are projected to hit a record $1.2 billion this year.
Last week, Congress's special 12-member deficit-cutting committee failed to agree on measures to address U.S.'s fiscal woes. It marked the third year in a row that taxpayers headed into December with major tax-code issues unaddressed. Lawmakers have a lengthy to-do list. The 2% Social Security payroll-tax cut for employees expires at the end of 2011. So do a host of other provisions, including a fix to keep the alternative minimum tax from expanding to millions more taxpayers in 2012, and an extension of the popular IRA charitable contribution for people older than 70½.

Oil prices rose towards $108 on Thursday, helped by bigger-than-expected stock draws in the United States and tensions around Iran.

QUOTE OF THE WEEK:
Doing what you love is the cornerstone of having abundance in your life. Dr. Wayne Dyer


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